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EFL Cup
Manchester United logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford
Aston Villa logo

Man Utd
4 - 2
Aston Villa

Martial (49'), Rashford (67'), Fernandes (78'), McTominay (90+1')
McTominay (40'), Maguire (43'), Fernandes (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Watkins (48'), Dalot (61' og.)
Luiz (52'), Young (54'), Bailey (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester United book their spot in the fourth round of the EFL Cup courtesy of a 4-2 win over Aston Villa at Old Trafford.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Man Utd
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
56.32% (1.133 1.13) 22.55% (0.07 0.07) 21.13% (-1.199 -1.2)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-1.949 -1.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.68% (-1.772 -1.77)44.32% (1.777 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.3% (-1.744 -1.74)66.7% (1.746 1.75)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.235 -0.23)15.55% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.441 -0.44)44.49% (0.444 0.44)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (-2.119 -2.12)34.96% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (-2.293 -2.29)71.71% (2.296 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 56.31%
    Aston Villa 21.13%
    Draw 22.55%
Manchester UnitedDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.673 0.67)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.562 0.56)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.303 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.72% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.31%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.408 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.263 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: Man Utd vs Aston Villa

Manchester United
77.9%
Aston Villa
22.1%
244
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Aston Villa
3-1
Man Utd
Bailey (7'), Digne (11'), Ramsey (49')
Ramsey (45' og.)
Shaw (10')
Jul 23, 2022 10.45am
Man Utd
2-2
Aston Villa
Sancho (25'), Cash (42' og.)
Chong (78'), Bailly (90+2')
Bailey (49'), Chambers (90+3')
Coutinho (13'), McGinn (51')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Aston Villa
2-2
Man Utd
Ramsey (77'), Coutinho (81')
Digne (27')
Fernandes (6', 67')
Matic (31'), Fernandes (46')
Jan 10, 2022 7.55pm
Man Utd
1-0
Aston Villa
McTominay (8')
Fred (65'), Shaw (68'), Dalot (70')

Ramsey (12')
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Man Utd
0-1
Aston Villa

Shaw (29'), Fred (77')
Hause (88')
McGinn (66'), Cash (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133
> Premier League Full Table


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