MX23RW : Sunday, November 10 10:49:40| >> :60:305:305:
MK Dons
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadium mk

MK Dons
2 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Harrison (26', 32')
Leigh (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Annous (30'), Butler-Oyedeji (36')
MK Dons win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between MK Dons and Arsenal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 2-5 Spurs U21s
Saturday, October 5 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Arsenal Under-21s

Arsenal's last two defensive displays have been highly concerning, and an MK Dons side still enjoying a new manager bounce should be able to exploit such frailties. In a reversal of fortunes from the opening matchday, we can picture the League Two outfit prevailing by a 2-1 scoreline on this occasion, as Group E is blown wide open. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawArsenal Under-21s
56.35% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 20.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.24% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 65.68% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.44% (0.045000000000002 0.05)31.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.96% (0.052 0.05)53.04% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)11.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)35.96% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (0.043000000000006 0.04)25.94% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (0.061 0.06)60.94% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 56.35%
    Arsenal Under-21s 23.24%
    Draw 20.41%
MK DonsDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.39% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.41%
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 23.24%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Arsenal U21s

MK Dons
60.5%
Draw
13.2%
Arsenal Under-21s
26.3%
38
rhs 2.0
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