Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.