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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Chesterfield
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Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
MK Dons

Hippolyte (11'), Maycock (90', 90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Walsall
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 MK Dons

 Both teams will need to turn up for the big occasion and bring their 'A' game for what could prove to be an entertaining contest on Saturday. Although MK Dons look as if they are beginning to turn a corner, Wimbledon have looked strong for the vast majority of this season and they have our vote to claim the bragging rights and prevail in this derby showdown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
35.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 25.34% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 39.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.43% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.68% (-0.064 -0.06)47.32% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.46% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)69.54% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.11% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)25.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)60.88% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)23.85% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 35.47%
    MK Dons 39.19%
    Draw 25.34%
AFC WimbledonDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.19%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons

AFC Wimbledon
65.0%
Draw
5.0%
MK Dons
30.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 12.45pm
Gameweek 36
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
MK Dons
Curtis (90+4')
Little (28'), Kelly (36'), Bugiel (77'), Reeves (85'), O'Toole (90+2'), Curtis (90+5')

Kelly (4'), Wearne (29'), Harvie (55'), Lofthouse (56'), Gilbey (65'), Norman (87')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
MK Dons
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Kemp (10'), Johnson (16' og.), O'Hora (22')
Payne (79')
Little (53')
Tilley (56')
Biler (65'), Kalambayi (73')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
MK Dons
Woodyard (19')
Heneghan (36'), Assal (45+1'), Marsh (67')
Parrott (80')
Harvie (40'), O'Hora (45+1')
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
MK Dons
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
O'Riley (29')

Guinness-Walker (23')
Guinness-Walker (36')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
MK Dons

Guinness-Walker (50'), Reilly (73')
O'Riley (60'), Sorinola (63')
Laird (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale116321612421
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster116231613320
3Notts County115421911819
4Walsall106131912719
5Gillingham11614137619
6BarrowBarrow11614138519
7Bradford CityBradford115331611518
8Grimsby Town116051518-318
9Crewe AlexandraCrewe105231110117
10AFC Wimbledon8512135816
11Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
12Chesterfield113621912715
13Newport CountyNewport115061621-515
14Harrogate TownHarrogate114251016-614
15MK Dons113351313012
16Salford City10334711-412
17Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
18Swindon TownSwindon112541215-311
19Tranmere RoversTranmere10253511-611
20Bromley102441214-210
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham113171419-510
22Accrington StanleyAccrington102351320-79
23Morecambe11146914-57
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle112181023-137
> League Two Full Table


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