Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjondalen win with a probability of 40%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjondalen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
