Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.