Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 21.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 1-3 (6.96%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.