Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
38.35% ( 0.29) | 27.98% ( 0.11) | 33.68% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 47.68% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.69% ( -0.45) | 58.32% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.06% ( -0.35) | 78.94% ( 0.35) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( -0.04) | 29.46% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( -0.06) | 65.47% ( 0.06) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.59% ( -0.49) | 32.41% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.08% ( -0.56) | 68.93% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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