Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AZ0 - 1Sparta
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, April 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam
AZ's dominance in this fixture points to a comfortable victory for them come the sound of the final whistle. While we expect anything but a straightforward affair here, we can see the home side carrying the day, albeit in narrow fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
67.18% ( -0.02) | 18.66% ( 0.01) | 14.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
