Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.