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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 62.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
62.42% ( 0.08) | 19.97% ( 0) | 17.61% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.58% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.14% ( -0.16) | 37.86% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.89% ( -0.17) | 60.11% ( 0.18) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.37% ( -0.03) | 11.63% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.35% ( -0.06) | 36.65% ( 0.07) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% ( -0.19) | 34.84% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.42% ( -0.2) | 71.58% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 4.22% Total : 62.42% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.97% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 17.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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