Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 19.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.