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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
49.32% ( 0.07) | 21.46% ( -0.02) | 29.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 67.93% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.84% ( 0.05) | 31.16% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.42% ( 0.05) | 52.57% ( -0.05) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.79% ( 0.04) | 13.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.05% ( 0.08) | 39.95% ( -0.08) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.27% ( -0.01) | 21.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.1% ( -0.01) | 54.9% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 29.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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