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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 84.8%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 5.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
84.8% ( 0.05) | 10.18% ( -0.03) | 5.01% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.9% ( 0.08) | 27.1% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.38% ( 0.1) | 47.61% ( -0.11) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.55% ( 0.02) | 4.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.7% ( 0.07) | 18.29% ( -0.07) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.04% ( -0.01) | 50.95% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.69% ( -0) | 85.31% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
3-0 @ 11.39% 2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 4.28% Total : 84.79% | 1-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 10.18% | 1-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 5.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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