MX23RW : Monday, December 23 02:02:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
PEC Zwolle

Excelsior
2 - 4
PEC Zwolle

Baas (39'), Parrott (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Namli (47'), Vellios (66', 81'), Thy (73')
Serrano (90+2'), van Polen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Vitesse 0-0 Excelsior
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle

All competitions
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 8 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-1 PEC Zwolle

 Excelsior have enjoyed a productive start to the season and will be confident of extending their unbeaten run to five matches against a Zwolle side who have stuttered in recent games. The visitors face another difficult assignment following contests with AZ, Heracles and Feyenoord prior to the international pause, and we believe that Jansen's men will come up short in Rotterdam on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPEC Zwolle
31.61% (-0.145 -0.15) 22.99% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 45.4% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 63.66% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (-0.231 -0.23)37.35% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.44% (-0.251 -0.25)59.56% (0.253 0.25)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.197 -0.2)23.39% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.287 -0.29)57.38% (0.289 0.29)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)16.89% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)46.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 31.61%
    PEC Zwolle 45.4%
    Draw 22.98%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.74% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.61%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.03% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 45.4%

How you voted: Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle

SBV Excelsior
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
PEC Zwolle
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
Excelsior
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Ehizibue (82'), Namli (84')
Hamer (12'), van Polen (44')
Oct 6, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 8
PEC Zwolle
2-0
Excelsior
Van Duinen (23'), Lam (55')
Hamer (63')

Koolwijk (13'), Bruins (54'), Burnet (60')
Apr 14, 2018 7.45pm
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Excelsior
Mokhtar (17')
Sandler (38'), Ehizibue (55')
Van Duinen (57' pen.)
Mattheij (37'), van Duinen (84'), Hadouir (93')
Dec 9, 2017 6.45pm
Excelsior
1-2
PEC Zwolle
Van Duinen (48' pen.)
Fortes (26'), van Duinen (32'), Elbers (64'), Caenepeel (90'), Koolwijk (90')
Elbers (83')
Saymak (49'), Namli (65')
Apr 1, 2017 5.30pm
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Excelsior
Warmerdam (26')
Brock-Madsen (31'), van Polen (41'), Marcellis (54')
Bruins (34')
Bruins (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!