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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Excelsior

Heerenveen
0 - 3
Excelsior


Hall (19'), van Beek (35'), Kohlert (56'), Walemark (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Driouech (21'), Agrafiotis (45+2'), Parrott (88')
Horemans (68'), Zagre (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 16 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 Almere City
Sunday, September 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 2-2 SBV Excelsior

Despite some recent head-to-heads producing low-scoring encounters, both sides have been involved in goal-laden matches this season. Excelsior have been the early draw specialists, while Heerenveen will be happy to arrest a current three-game losing streak, so a close game could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawSBV Excelsior
58.71% (1.546 1.55) 21.89% (-0.625 -0.63) 19.41% (-0.916 -0.92)
Both teams to score 54.34% (0.54600000000001 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.25% (1.467 1.47)43.75% (-1.461 -1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86% (1.421 1.42)66.14% (-1.416 -1.42)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (1.003 1)14.58% (-0.998 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.35% (1.896 1.9)42.65% (-1.89 -1.89)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61% (-0.106 -0.11)36.39% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (-0.109 -0.11)73.17% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 58.7%
    SBV Excelsior 19.41%
    Draw 21.88%
HeerenveenDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 6.31% (0.259 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 3.04% (0.225 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.106 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.122 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 58.7%
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.41%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Excelsior

Heerenveen
45.5%
Draw
45.5%
SBV Excelsior
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Heerenveen
0-0
Excelsior
Nunnely (64'), Bruma (78'), Bochniewicz (90+3')
El Yaakoubi (66'), Kharchouch (73')
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Mar 30, 2019 7.45pm
Sep 22, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 6
Excelsior
3-3
Heerenveen
Messaoud (12', 51'), Bruins (42')
Bulthuis (49'), Thorsby (59'), Hornkamp (92')
Thorsby (27')
Feb 24, 2018 6.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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