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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
27.09% ( 1.3) | 21.68% ( 0.8) | 51.22% ( -2.11) |
Both teams to score 65.27% ( -1.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.1% ( -2.8) | 33.9% ( 2.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.25% ( -3.25) | 55.75% ( 3.25) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.53% ( -0.61) | 24.47% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.09% ( -0.87) | 58.91% ( 0.87) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.41% ( -1.59) | 13.59% ( 1.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.29% ( -3.27) | 40.71% ( 3.28) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.58) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.09% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.31) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.36) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.21) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.3) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.23) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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