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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
37.28% ( 0.32) | 26.25% ( -0.19) | 36.46% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.38% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( 0.78) | 51.25% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.91% ( 0.68) | 73.09% ( -0.68) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.3% ( 0.55) | 26.7% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.04% ( 0.72) | 61.96% ( -0.72) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.83% ( 0.29) | 27.17% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.42% ( 0.38) | 62.58% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
SBV Excelsior | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.28% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |