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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
48.41% ( 0.02) | 24.7% ( -0) | 26.89% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.48% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.96% ( -0) | 48.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% ( -0) | 70.21% ( 0.01) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.11% ( 0.01) | 19.89% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.98% ( 0.01) | 52.02% ( -0.01) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.01% ( -0.01) | 32% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.54% ( -0.02) | 68.46% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.88% Total : 48.4% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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