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Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PSV

Sparta
0 - 4
PSV


de Guzman (45+1'), Brym (45+1'), Neghli (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tillman (51'), Bakayoko (59'), Vertessen (80'), de Jong (88')
Dest (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 Sparta
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-2 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 11 matches against Sparta Rotterdam, and they have made a very promising start to the campaign, winning their opening seven Eredivisie games. As such, the visitors should have no problem securing a relatively comfortable victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
20.15% (0.348 0.35) 22.06% (0.352 0.35) 57.79% (-0.693 -0.69)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.595 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (-1.069 -1.07)43.45% (1.073 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (-1.058 -1.06)65.84% (1.064 1.06)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.56% (-0.259 -0.26)35.44% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.8% (-0.272 -0.27)72.2% (0.27699999999999 0.28)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.572 -0.57)14.77% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (-1.113 -1.11)43.02% (1.118 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 20.15%
    PSV Eindhoven 57.78%
    Draw 22.06%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.214 0.21)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 20.15%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.243 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.57% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 6.1% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.03% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.78%

How you voted: Sparta vs PSV

Sparta Rotterdam
15.8%
Draw
0.0%
PSV Eindhoven
84.2%
19
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 31
Sparta
0-1
PSV
El Ghazi (74')
Jan 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
0-0
Sparta
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sparta
1-2
PSV
Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')
Oct 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
2-1
Sparta
Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')
Jan 16, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Sparta
3-5
PSV
Smeets (4'), Gravenberch (75'), Kharchouch (87' pen.)
Beugelsdijk (45+2')
Junior (24'), Malen (47', 90+3'), Madueke (49'), Max (71')
Thomas (37')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
10Heerenveen176381731-1421
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237


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