Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Brondby Stadion
Brondby2 - 3Legia
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Brondby and Legia Warsaw.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 0-2 Brondby
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Legia 1-2 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, August 4 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, August 4 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Brondby had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Brondby win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
Result | ||
Brondby | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
38% ( -6.72) | 23.16% ( -0.96) | 38.83% ( 7.68) |
Both teams to score 64.72% ( 5.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.34% ( 6.31) | 36.66% ( -6.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.18% ( 6.55) | 58.82% ( -6.56) |
Brondby Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( -0.34) | 19.74% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.22% ( -0.55) | 51.77% ( 0.55) |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% ( 7.05) | 19.36% ( -7.06) |