Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo
Tre Penne0 - 3Valmiera
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Tre Penne and Valmiera.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valmiera win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valmiera win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 2-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valmiera would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tre Penne | Draw | Valmiera |
16.01% ( 0.04) | 19.76% ( 0.02) | 64.22% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0) | 39.88% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.76% ( 0.01) | 62.24% ( -0) |
| Tre Penne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( 0.05) | 37.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.27% ( 0.05) | 74.73% ( -0.05) |
| Valmiera Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( -0.01) | 11.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.11% ( -0.03) | 36.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Tre Penne 16.01%
Valmiera 64.22%
Draw 19.76%
| Tre Penne | Draw | Valmiera |
| 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.01% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.76% | 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.07% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 64.22% |
How you voted: Tre Penne vs Valmiera
Tre Penne
20.0%Draw
30.0%Valmiera
50.0%10
Form Guide
