MX23RW : Monday, April 7 23:40:14| >> :120:54279:54279:
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Doosan Arena
Fiorentina logo

Plzen
0 - 0
Fiorentina


Cadu (16'), Reznik (72'), Chory (90+3')
FT

Ikone (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Viktoria Plzen and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Fiorentina

Viktoria are unlikely to keep a clean sheet against a side averaging 2.1 goals a game in this year's Conference League. However, a victory is far from guaranteed for Fiorentina, who have secured just two road wins in five (including the playoff round) in the competition this term, pointing to a share of the spoils on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawFiorentina
33.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 25.26%41.69% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.56% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)47.44% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.65% (0.012 0.01)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.4% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)62.87% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (0.010000000000005 0.01)22.66% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02)56.3% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 33.05%
    Fiorentina 41.69%
    Draw 25.26%
Viktoria PlzenDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 7.73% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 41.69%

How you voted: Plzen vs Fiorentina

Viktoria Plzen
Draw
Fiorentina
Viktoria Plzen
29.1%
Draw
30.9%
Fiorentina
40.0%
110
rhs 2.0
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