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Roma logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Ajax

Roma
1 - 1
Ajax

Dzeko (72')
Ibanez (43'), Veretout (67'), Mancini (68'), Dzeko (79'), Cristante (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brobbey (49')
Tagliafico (89'), Martinez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAjax
31.68%22.12%46.2%
Both teams to score 66.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67%33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.27%54.73%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75%21.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84%54.16%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.07%14.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.68%43.32%
Score Analysis
    Roma 31.68%
    Ajax 46.2%
    Draw 22.12%
RomaDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.24%
1-0 @ 4.91%
2-0 @ 3.81%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 31.68%
1-1 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 6.88%
0-0 @ 3.17%
3-3 @ 2.25%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 6.03%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 5.63%
2-3 @ 4.36%
0-3 @ 3.64%
1-4 @ 2.68%
2-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.73%
3-4 @ 1.07%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 46.2%

How you voted: Roma vs Ajax

Roma
41.9%
Draw
16.2%
Ajax
41.9%
365
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2021 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
1-2
Roma
Klaassen (39')
Rensch (71'), Martinez (86')
Pellegrini (57'), Ibanez (87')
Peres (78'), Cristante (90'), Calafiori (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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