MX23RW : Monday, March 10 23:13:05| >> :600:12801259:12801259:
Czech Republic national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Poland national football team

Czech Republic
3 - 1
Poland

Krejci (1'), Cvancara (3'), Kuchta (64')
Soucek (22'), Brabec (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Szymanski (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Czech Republic and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Turkey 2-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: France 3-1 Poland
Sunday, December 4 at 3pm in World Cup

We said: Czech Republic 1-1 Poland

With star talent in both attacks, that should be where the game is won, but Santos's appointment as Poland boss should see them remain strong defensively. A draw would not be a bad result for either side, as long as they can beat the other three weaker nations in their group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Poland had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Poland win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.

Result
Czech RepublicDrawPoland
56.4% (0.108 0.11) 21.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 21.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.1% (-0.106 -0.11)40.91% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.71% (-0.108 -0.11)63.29% (0.111 0.11)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64%14.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.22% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)32.53% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (-0.171 -0.17)69.06% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Czech Republic 56.4%
    Poland 21.66%
    Draw 21.94%
Czech RepublicDrawPoland
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.07% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 56.4%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 21.66%

How you voted: Czech Republic vs Poland

Czech Republic
20.3%
Draw
21.6%
Poland
58.1%
236
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Poland
0-1
Czech Republic
Jankto (52')
Darida (85')
Jun 16, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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