Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.