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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Wimmer (50'), Wind (53')
Wimmer (60'), Maehle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zec (13'), Skrzybski (80')
Zec (23'), Pichler (90+4'), Arp (90+2'), Remberg (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 3-0 Holstein Kiel

Though Wolfsburg have been defensively frail in recent weeks, it is difficult to see Holstein Kiel posing much of a challenge given their poor away form. Additionally, the visitors are in the midst of a defensive injury crisis, and it would be surprising if they managed to keep the hosts from scoring multiple goals on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawHolstein Kiel
47.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07) 22.92% (0.041 0.04) 29.43% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 62.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.8% (-0.181 -0.18)38.2% (0.181 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.52% (-0.193 -0.19)60.47% (0.192 0.19)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)16.37% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)46% (0.168 0.17)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)25.14% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15% (-0.103 -0.1)59.85% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 47.64%
    Holstein Kiel 29.43%
    Draw 22.91%
WolfsburgDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 47.64%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.43%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel

Wolfsburg
85.7%
Draw
13.3%
Holstein Kiel
1.0%
98
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Wolfsburg

Bernhardsson (48'), Knudsen (58'), Arp (90+7'), Geschwill (90+9')
Rapp (90+7')
Arnold (27'), Bornauw (30')
Svanberg (19'), Wimmer (35'), Baku (41'), Fischer (43'), Tomas (51'), Zesiger (77'), Arnold (89')
May 21, 2018 7.30pm
Finals
Holstein Kiel
0-1
Wolfsburg

Herrmann (31'), Peitz (89'), Ducksch (90')
Knoche (75')
Uduokhai (28'), Brooks (89')
May 17, 2018 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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