Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Lamia had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Lamia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.