Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 38%. A win for OFI Crete had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest OFI Crete win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.