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Hertha Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Dec 4, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Union Berlin logo

Hertha Berlin
3 - 1
Union Berlin

Pekarik (51'), Piatek (74', 77')
Cunha (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Awoniyi (20')
Trimmel (36'), Ryerson (52'), Lenz (64')
Andrich (24')

Preview: Hertha Berlin vs. Union Berlin - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hertha Berlin host Union Berlin in the Berlin derby on Friday, with the visitors looking to move to third in the table with a victory.

Hertha, meanwhile, have won just one of their last eight league matches, but did earn a creditable 0-0 draw at Bayer Leverkusen last weekend.


Match preview

Hertha Berlin manager Bruno Labbadia pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Indeed, Bruno Labbadia's side displayed an unusually disciplined defensive performance at an in-form Leverkusen side who had won eight of their previous nine matches in all competitions.

Peter Bosz's side were restricted to only two shots on target in the match, with Kerem Demirbay and Leon Bailey forced to take long distance shots from range which were both comfortably saved by goalkeeper Alexander Schwolow in a first half which never really got going for either side.

Having conceded 18 goals in their first eight league matches, including five in the second half alone of the home defeat to Borussia Dortmund the previous weekend, Labbadia had clearly set his side up to be more compact and it worked extremely effectively, with substitute Jessic Nkgankam almost turning one point into three with an injury-time header.

Hertha will certainly need to be defensively resolute on Friday against their city rivals, who simply cannot stop scoring at the moment, with 13 goals in their last four Bundesliga matches.

Union Berlin manager Urs Fischer pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Indeed, it has been a remarkable campaign so far for Urs Fischer's side, who are only competing in the Bundesliga for the second season in the club's history having comfortably survived relegation last time out.

Max Kruse is proving to be one of the best summer transfer window signings in Europe, with the 32-year-old surely close to an international recall having scored six and assisted five goals in only seven starts for his new club to help fire them into the Europa League qualification places.

Kruse was in superb form once again last weekend, scoring a sensational 80th minute equaliser in the 3-3 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt. The amount of swerve and power in his strike left Kevin Trapp absolutely no chance, unlike for Robert Andrich's opener when the Germany goalkeeper spilled Marcus Ingvartsen's cross into the midfielder's path for an easy tap in.

Without another inspired performance from Andre Silva, who bagged a first-half brace to level proceedings at the break after Kruse's penalty had made it 2-0 after only five minutes, Union Berlin may well have recorded their fourth successive victory. However, having remained unbeaten since the opening day, Fischer's side now have the chance to move into third position with a win across Berlin on Friday night.

Hertha Berlin Bundesliga form: LLDWLD

Union Berlin Bundesliga form: DDWWWD


Team News

Union Berlin's Max Kruse celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on November 22, 2020© Reuters

Summer signing Jhon Cordoba is likely to remain injured until the New Year with a ligament issue sustained in the win at Augsburg last month, but otherwise Labbadia appears to have no injuries or suspensions to contend with.

He is unlikely to make any alterations to the XI which performed solidly at Leverkusen last weekend, with top goalscorer Matheus Cunha perhaps provided with more positional freedom to roam inside from the left flank.

Fischer, meanwhile, remains without the trio of Joel Pohjanpalo (ankle), Christian Gentner (muscular), Anthony Ujah (knee), and like Labaddia is unlikely to make any changes to his side from last weekend's draw with Frankfurt.

That would mean another start for Taiwo Awoniyi, on loan from Liverpool, in attack after the 23-year-old impressed in recent weeks by scoring in the win at FC Koln before winning the penalty from which Kruse converted against Frankfurt.

Hertha Berlin possible starting lineup:
Schwolow; Pekarik, Boyata, Alderete, Plattenhardt; Darida, Stark, Guendouzi, Cunha; Lukebakio, Piatek

Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Luthe; Trimmel, Friedrich, Knoche, Lenz; Promel, Andrich; Becker, Kruse, Ingvarsten; Awoniyi


SM words green background

We say: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Union Berlin

Hertha looked like they were back on track against Leverkusen, although they will be expected to have more of the ball at home to their city rivals, who are equally content counter-attacking at will.

Providing Matteo Guendouzi and Niklas Stark keep close tabs on Kruse in midfield, we think Hertha can gain another creditable draw on Friday in what should be a closely-fought and feisty derby.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin

Hertha Berlin
32.2%
Draw
29.3%
Union Berlin
38.4%
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2SC PaderbornSC Paderborn115511813520
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf116231712520
4Hamburger SV1154225141119
5Karlsruher SCKarlsruher115422219319
6Nuremberg115242420417
7Magdeburg114522017317
8Hertha Berlin115241917217
9Elversberg114431913616
10KaiserslauternKaiserslautern114432018216
11FC Koln114342320315
12SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt113442322113
13Greuther Furth113441822-413
14Preussen Munster112451418-410
15SSV UlmUlm112361013-39
16Schalke 04Schalke112361924-59
17Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig112361123-129
18Jahn RegensburgJahn11218530-257


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