International Friendly
Sep 27, 2022 at 12.55pm UK
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Ecuador0 - 0Japan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Ecuador
Friday, September 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Friday, September 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
We said: Ecuador 1-1 Japan
Ecuador have drawn three of their last five games, and with both sides looking to extend their respective unbeaten runs ahead of the World Cup, we think that the two nations will be content with a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Japan had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Japan |
48.16% ( -0.05) | 25.41% ( 0.08) | 26.42% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
