We said: Mexico 2-2 Ghana
Neither team will want to suffer defeat in this match having built up solid unbeaten runs across recent months, and we can envisage an entertaining draw as a result.
The two sides are both more capable offensively than defensively in terms of individual talent, particularly in the case of Ghana, who have several exciting attackers at their disposal to hurt Mexico.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.