Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.