Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.