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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
3 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

Elias (59'), Hara (74'), Tulio (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Patric (5', 19')
Morishima (65')
Uchida (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-5 Stuttgart
Sunday, July 28 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-3 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus

As two of the division's lowest goalscorers, few people will expect this contest to emerge as a particularly entertaining encounter. With that in mind, we feel that a goal apiece seems logical, something that may be viewed as beneficial to both teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
33.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.36% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 38.92% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.01% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)55.99% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.92% (-0.067 -0.07)77.08% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.2% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)67.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)28% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)63.65% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 33.71%
    Nagoya Grampus 38.92%
    Draw 27.36%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 12.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.92%

How you voted: Kyoto Sanga vs Nagoya Grampus

Kyoto Sanga
54.5%
Draw
36.4%
Nagoya Grampus
9.1%
11
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 7am
Gameweek 16
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Shiihashi (75')
Izumi (50'), Uchida (60'), Nakayama (90+7')
Toyokawa (36')
Toyokawa (12'), Miyayoshi (67')
Jul 16, 2023 11am
Gameweek 21
Kyoto Sanga
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Yamasaki (13'), Patric (90+2')
Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
Izumi (62')
Inagaki (10')
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Sakai (60')
Mendes (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima291510453282555
2Machida Zelvia29167643222155
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe29157745271852
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers28146844341048
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka28139632221048
6Yokohama F MarinosYokohama28125114842641
7Tokyo Verdy29101183741-441
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo2891183537-238
9Avispa Fukuoka2991192830-238
10FC Tokyo29108113741-438
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus28114133234-237
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa279994237536
13Albirex Niigata2899103739-236
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki28810104240234
15Kyoto Sanga2897123345-1234
16Kashiwa ReysolReysol2889113442-833
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2988133943-432
18Jubilo Iwata2877143449-1528
19Consadole SapporoConsadole2967163455-2125
20Sagan Tosu2973193657-2124


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