MX23RW : Monday, March 10 17:23:59| >> :120:73339:73339:
Ajax
KNVB Beker | Second Round
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 0
Telstar

Rugani (64'), Akpom (86')
Fitz-Jim (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakker (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between Ajax and Telstar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Sunday, December 15 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Telstar 3-0 Helmond
Friday, December 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

We said: Ajax 4-1 Telstar

While plenty of changes are expected by the hosts given the short turnaround to their next league game, we feel they will still have far too much firepower for their lower league opponents in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.87%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 7.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.75%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawTelstar
79.87% (-0.33800000000001 -0.34) 12.6% (0.169 0.17) 7.53% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 52.43% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.6% (-0.215 -0.22)28.4% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.76% (-0.265 -0.27)49.24% (0.262 0.26)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.49% (-0.102 -0.1)5.51% (0.0989 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.52% (-0.291 -0.29)21.48% (0.288 0.29)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.246 0.25)44.51% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.46% (0.2 0.2)80.54% (-0.20299999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 79.87%
    Telstar 7.53%
    Draw 12.6%
AjaxDrawTelstar
2-0 @ 10.3%
3-0 @ 9.96% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.11% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.18% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 2.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.64% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 79.87%
1-1 @ 5.75% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.38% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.45% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 12.6%
1-2 @ 2.33% (0.046 0.05)
0-1 @ 1.98% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 7.53%

How you voted: Ajax vs Telstar

Ajax
86.8%
Draw
9.4%
Telstar
3.8%
53
rhs 2.0
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