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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Celta Vigo logo

Espanyol
1 - 3
Celta Vigo

Gragera (86')
Darder (31'), Cabrera (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Veiga (26'), Aspas (45' pen.), Perez (82')
Galan (62'), Strand Larsen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Espanyol
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, March 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 2-2 Celta Vigo

Incredibly, six of the last eight La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are finding it difficult to separate them once again here. Espanyol have drawn a third of their home league games this season, and we are expecting the points to be shared once again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawCelta Vigo
32.6% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 27.63% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 39.77% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)57.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)78.05% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (0.060999999999993 0.06)32.57% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (0.068999999999999 0.07)69.1% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)28.09% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)63.76% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 32.6%
    Celta Vigo 39.77%
    Draw 27.62%
EspanyolDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.6%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 39.77%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Celta Vigo

Espanyol
32.1%
Draw
37.0%
Celta Vigo
30.9%
81
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2023 6pm
Round of 32
Espanyol
3-1
Celta Vigo
Puado (53'), Darder (97'), Nico (118')
Paciencia (15')
Vazquez (12')
Aug 13, 2022 4pm
Celta Vigo
2-2
Espanyol
Aspas (45+2'), Paciencia (63')
Mallo (15'), Aidoo (37'), Aspas (80'), Galan (90+2'), Marchesin (90+5')
Exposito (72'), Joselu (90+8' pen.)
Souza (60'), Gil (90+1')
Apr 10, 2022 3.15pm
Espanyol
1-0
Celta Vigo
Lei (89')
Herrera (43'), Calero (45'), Bare (55'), Vilhena (81')

Vazquez (77')
Dec 17, 2021 8pm
Celta Vigo
3-1
Espanyol
Mina (3'), Aspas (47'), Suarez (82')
Mina (89'), Mallo (90+1')
Moron (90+2')
Vila (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
15AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca31613122536-1131
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria31111193062-3214


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