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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Celta Vigo logo

Espanyol
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Cardona (40'), Cabrera (53'), Cheddira (87')
Kumbulla (55'), Garcia (86'), Gonzalez (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aspas (83' pen.)
Alonso (35'), Alvarez (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 4-1 Espanyol
Saturday, November 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 1-2 Celta Vigo

Celta have only won once on their travels in La Liga this term, but the Sky Blues have so much talent in the final third of the field, and we are backing them to record a narrow win over an out-of-form Espanyol outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawCelta Vigo
40.7% (-0.568 -0.57) 27.84% (0.124 0.12) 31.47% (0.451 0.45)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76% (-0.318 -0.32)58.24% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12% (-0.249 -0.25)78.88% (0.256 0.26)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)28.07% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-0.595 -0.59)63.74% (0.6 0.6)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.16 0.16)33.91% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.17 0.17)70.59% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 40.69%
    Celta Vigo 31.46%
    Draw 27.83%
EspanyolDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.52% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.46%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Celta Vigo

Espanyol
30.3%
Draw
19.2%
Celta Vigo
50.5%
99
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Espanyol
1-3
Celta Vigo
Gragera (86')
Veiga (26'), Aspas (45' pen.), Perez (82')
Jan 3, 2023 6pm
Round of 32
Espanyol
3-1
Celta Vigo
Puado (53'), Darder (97'), Nico (118')
Paciencia (15')
Aug 13, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
2-2
Espanyol
Aspas (45+2'), Paciencia (63')
Mallo (15'), Aidoo (37'), Aspas (80'), Galan (90+2'), Marchesin (90+5')
Exposito (72'), Joselu (90+8' pen.)
Souza (60'), Gil (90+1')
Apr 10, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Espanyol
1-0
Celta Vigo
Lei (89')
Herrera (43'), Calero (45'), Bare (55'), Vilhena (81')

Vazquez (77')
Dec 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Celta Vigo
3-1
Espanyol
Mina (3'), Aspas (47'), Suarez (82')
Mina (89'), Mallo (90+1')
Moron (90+2')
Vila (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona22143560243645
4Athletic Bilbao22118333201341
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7GironaGirona229493130131
8Osasuna227962731-430
9Mallorca2293101928-930
10Real BetisBetis227872528-329
11Real Sociedad2284101819-128
12Sevilla227782430-628
13Celta Vigo2274113135-425
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2265112736-923
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2256112534-921
19Valencia2247112237-1519
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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