Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.