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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Getafe logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Getafe

Duro (40')
Pepelu (67'), Guillamon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moriba (43'), Angel Carmona (78'), Dakonam (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Getafe

The absences of Mayoral and Greenwood will be felt by Getafe, and we are backing Valencia to edge a close contest on Saturday. Los Che have not lost at home to Getafe in La Liga since April 2018, and we are expecting their unbeaten run in this fixture to continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawGetafe
51.32% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 26.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 22.45% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)78.27% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.06% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)41.1% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)77.65% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 51.3%
    Getafe 22.45%
    Draw 26.23%
ValenciaDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.3%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Valencia vs Getafe

Valencia
69.1%
Draw
25.5%
Getafe
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (87')
Milla (57'), Dakonam (62')
Duarte (90+2')

Correia (42'), Paulista (43'), Baraja (43'), Foulquier (90+3')
Paulista (50'), Guerra (88')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (82')
Sep 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Valencia
5-1
Getafe
Lato (7'), Lino (14'), Castillejo (16'), Gonzalez (65'), Duro (68')
Alvarez (78')
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Getafe
0-0
Valencia
Ramirez (39'), Alena (49'), Mayoral (73'), Flores (73'), Mata (80'), Maksimovic (90+2'), Olivera (90+4')
Alderete (31'), Guillamon (82'), Moriba (87'), Foulquier (90+4'), Costa (90+5')
Aug 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-0
Getafe
Soler (11' pen.)
Wass (13'), Soler (50'), Gomez (57'), Gaya (70'), Jason (90+2'), Alderete (90+6')
Guillamon (3')

Olivera (31'), Cabaco (38'), Miguel Gonzalez Martin del Campo (83')
Cabaco (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao31169651292257
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Valencia31138103432247
8Real BetisBetis31111283837145
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna31116143644-839
12Las PalmasLas Palmas31107142935-637
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3138203260-2817
20Almeria31111193062-3214


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