Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.