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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Stevenage

Barnsley
0 - 1
Stevenage


McCarthy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kemp (90+2')
Phillips (56'), Goode (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Barnsley
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage

Despite the visitors' midweek victory and the hosts' setback last weekend, Barnsley should have the quality to get over the line at Oakwell and make a swift return to winning ways in their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawStevenage
41.06% (0.435 0.43) 28.02% (0.305 0.31) 30.93% (-0.735 -0.73)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-1.118 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.98% (-1.285 -1.29)59.02% (1.292 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51% (-1.005 -1.01)79.49% (1.011 1.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.37 -0.37)28.25% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.474 -0.47)63.96% (0.47900000000001 0.48)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-1.21 -1.21)34.72% (1.217 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-1.302 -1.3)71.45% (1.31 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 41.05%
    Stevenage 30.92%
    Draw 28.01%
BarnsleyDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Stevenage

Barnsley
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Stevenage
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stevenage
3-0
Barnsley
List (54', 90'), Piergianni (59')
White (61'), Phillips (78'), Freestone (82'), Thompson (86')

Durand de Gevigney (64'), O'Keeffe (79')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Stevenage
2-1
Barnsley
Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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