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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Barnsley

Bolton
1 - 2
Barnsley

Lolos (26')
Lolos (58'), Thomason (75'), Williams (75'), Charles (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Keillor-Dunn (80'), Phillips (89')
McCarthy (42'), Cotter (76'), Cotter (85'), Nwakali (90'), Yoganathan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Bolton
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-4 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-2 Barnsley

Given that Barnsley have been so strong away from home this season, Clarke's side are likely to score at least once on Thursday. Additionally, while Bolton will put up a fight, their defensive weakness this term may cause them to surrender all three points to their playoff rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.73%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
54.73% (0.877 0.88) 21.69% (-0.296 -0.3) 23.58% (-0.582 -0.58)
Both teams to score 61.35% (0.353 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.61% (0.781 0.78)37.39% (-0.78 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.39% (0.835 0.84)59.6% (-0.835 -0.84)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (0.541 0.54)13.69% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.07% (1.067 1.07)40.92% (-1.067 -1.07)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)28.91% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)64.79% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.73%
    Barnsley 23.58%
    Draw 21.69%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.104 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.074 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.73%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.91% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 23.58%

How you voted: Bolton vs Barnsley

Bolton Wanderers
50.0%
Draw
15.0%
Barnsley
35.0%
20
Head to Head
May 7, 2024 8pm
Bolton
2-3
Barnsley
Collins (43'), Toal (45+1')
Thomason (45+2')
Cosgrove (36', 76'), Phillips (64')
O'Keeffe (63'), Phillips (69'), Williams (90+1')
May 3, 2024 7.30pm
Barnsley
1-3
Bolton
Cosgrove (75')
Phillips (18'), Connell (58')
Charles (23', 53'), Williams (90+4')
Maghoma (41'), Thomason (45+4'), Cogley (80'), Toal (90+7')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Barnsley
2-2
Bolton
McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
May 19, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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