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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Barnsley

Stevenage
2 - 1
Barnsley

Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Barnsley

The two sides have enjoyed similar first halves to the League One season, and while Barnsley boast more quality, the hosts have continuously punched above their weight this term and should at least be able to take a share of the spoils on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBarnsley
37.07% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 26.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 36.43% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)52.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.032 0.03)74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3%27.69% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75%63.25%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 37.07%
    Barnsley 36.43%
    Draw 26.5%
StevenageDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 37.07%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Barnsley

Stevenage
36.4%
Draw
29.5%
Barnsley
34.1%
44
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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