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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Birmingham
3 - 1
Wrexham

Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Wrexham

The two sides will both head into Monday's game with aspirations of claiming maximum points, but we think that the two in-form sides could cancel one another out which may result in the spoils being shared at St. Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
51.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 23.09% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 25.6% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.183 -0.18)41.96% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.184 -0.18)64.36% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.101 -0.1)16.45% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-0.181 -0.18)46.13% (0.182 0.18)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)29.78% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.86% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 51.31%
    Wrexham 25.6%
    Draw 23.09%
Birmingham CityDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.31%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.039 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wrexham

Birmingham City
42.2%
Draw
24.0%
Wrexham
33.8%
204
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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