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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
35.53% ( 0.18) | 26.22% ( 0.18) | 38.25% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.83% ( -0.74) | 51.17% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.98% ( -0.65) | 73.02% ( 0.66) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( -0.25) | 27.68% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.76% ( -0.32) | 63.24% ( 0.33) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( -0.53) | 26.12% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.82% ( -0.72) | 61.18% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |