Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.