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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Birmingham logo

Exeter
P-P
Birmingham

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Birmingham City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Bolton vs. Exeter
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Fulham
Tuesday, August 27 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Next Game: Birmingham vs. Wigan
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawBirmingham City
28.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 46.86% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.58% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)48.35% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)70.49% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.19% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.68% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)53.26% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 28.17%
    Birmingham City 46.85%
    Draw 24.97%
Exeter CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.17%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.85%

rhs 2.0
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