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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Peterborough United

Exeter
1 - 2
Peterborough

Cole (4')
Caldwell (24'), Yfeko (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mothersille (7'), Fernandez (45')
Wallin (23'), Curtis (90'), Collins (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Peterborough United

 After showing what they are capable of in thumping Shrewsbury last weekend, Peterborough put a poor first week behind them and now look capable of kicking on in their search for promotion. Rotherham found out that St James Park is not an easy place to visit though on the opening day, but two defeats since then may have dented confidence in the Exeter ranks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
27.18% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 24.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 47.87% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)48.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.7% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)20.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 27.18%
    Peterborough United 47.87%
    Draw 24.94%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.18%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.87%

How you voted: Exeter vs Peterborough

Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
12.5%
Peterborough United
62.5%
16
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Peterborough
2-1
Exeter
Mason-Clark (4'), Poku (68')
Carroll (36')
Harper (39'), Purrington (62'), Harris (84'), Rankine (85'), Niskanen (90+10')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
2-1
Peterborough
Cole (75'), Katongo (80' og.)
Niskanen (9')
Burrows (32' pen.)
Olakigbe (36'), Knight (90+5')
Olakigbe (55')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Peterborough
3-1
Exeter
Hartridge (8' og.), Mason-Clark (41'), Clarke-Harris (70')
Harper (46')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Exeter
3-2
Peterborough
Dieng (28'), Nombe (86'), Brown (90+1')
Clarke-Harris (40'), Mason-Clark (81')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2018 7.15pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-2
Peterborough

Ogbene (60'), Oates (84')
Toney (67'), Cummings (77')
Toney (60'), Maddison (70'), Woodyard (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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