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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Exeter City

Port Vale
2 - 4
Exeter

Chislett (31'), Dipepa (40')
Sang (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Alli (57', 89'), Jules (67'), Harris (79')
Alli (7'), Watts (35'), Purrington (41'), Harris (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Exeter City

Port Vale will be targeting three points to boost their survival chances, but we think that the Valiants will have to settle for a draw, with Exeter currently enjoying a seven-game unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
37.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 25.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 37.12% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.026000000000003 0.03)47.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.023 0.02)69.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)59.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)25.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)59.82% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 37.44%
    Exeter City 37.12%
    Draw 25.43%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.12%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Exeter

Port Vale
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Exeter City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Aimson (72'), Scott (84')
Aimson (90+1')
Arblaster (29')
Grant (54'), Debrah (85')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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