Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.